Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.207252 0.240627 0.279500 0.328578 0.389542 0.463663 0.561971
2025-02-23 0.157279 0.198991 0.253592 0.332228 0.445978 0.610339 0.877598
2025-03-02 0.127725 0.171697 0.234334 0.334086 0.497344 0.771475 1.312537
2025-03-09 0.107648 0.151374 0.217783 0.332279 0.539856 0.937688 1.882986
2025-03-16 0.092452 0.134562 0.201782 0.325296 0.569196 1.094378 2.583655
2025-03-23 0.083940 0.126233 0.197062 0.335674 0.634488 1.364250 3.911564
2025-03-30 0.074691 0.115037 0.185040 0.328734 0.660522 1.559104 5.336195
2025-04-06 0.068766 0.108472 0.179879 0.333861 0.716373 1.878936 8.006539
2025-04-13 0.062731 0.100826 0.171307 0.329473 0.746997 2.149862 11.330154
2025-04-20 0.058736 0.096290 0.167900 0.335687 0.809601 2.599247 18.093235
2025-04-27 0.055584 0.092882 0.166129 0.345276 0.887529 3.209673 31.549681
2025-05-04 0.052616 0.089441 0.163713 0.352683 0.963404 3.928576 57.889365
2025-05-11 0.050062 0.086586 0.162272 0.362882 1.058109 4.946502 126.922919
2025-05-18 0.047427 0.083284 0.159393 0.368688 1.142460 6.115011 313.715988
2025-05-25 0.044860 0.079840 0.155692 0.371338 1.217880 7.453615 952.518835
2025-06-01 0.042289 0.076123 0.150836 0.369426 1.274199 8.843672 3885.191305
2025-06-08 0.039645 0.072003 0.144485 0.361460 1.299098 10.045036 24567.447621
2025-06-15 0.038301 0.070527 0.144338 0.373393 1.434449 13.358682 NaN
2025-06-22 0.036096 0.066978 0.138596 0.365426 1.459321 15.248629 NaN
2025-06-29 0.034725 0.065145 0.136970 0.371317 1.571189 19.706327 NaN
2025-07-06 0.032990 0.062354 0.132539 0.366276 1.614613 23.240562 NaN
2025-07-13 0.031894 0.060912 0.131477 0.373415 1.747098 31.170926 NaN
2025-07-20 0.031015 0.059891 0.131410 0.384442 1.922055 44.575236 NaN